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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.33vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+0.05vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.26vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.72vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.22-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33University of Rhode Island1.830.4%1st Place
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3.1Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.28Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.83Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Riley | 36.9% | 25.1% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 19.9% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.7% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Simms | 10.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 1.7% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 4.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 24.5% | 48.9% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 30.6% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.