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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.11vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-0.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.26vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11-0.70vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.22-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34University of Rhode Island1.830.4%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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3.11Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.08Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.3Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.83Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.54University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Riley | 36.9% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Marina Garrido | 19.1% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.1% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 4.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 10.3% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 23.8% | 49.4% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 30.6% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.