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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.69+2.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.71vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27-0.86vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-1.94vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.22+0.79vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-1.63vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Rhode Island1.830.4%1st Place
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4.06Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.79Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.37Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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6.56University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Riley | 36.7% | 27.1% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Simms | 9.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 13.0% | 4.7% |
| Marina Garrido | 18.8% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.5% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 24.4% | 46.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 11.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 30.9% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.