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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+0.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+0.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.69+0.07vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.22+1.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-1.32vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-2.66vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Rhode Island1.830.3%1st Place
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3.16Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.82Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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5.34Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.52University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.8% | 23.0% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 33.0% | 27.3% | 20.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 19.7% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Madeline Simms | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 24.4% | 48.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 10.8% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 17.3% | 30.0% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.