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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Olivia Lowthian 20.8% 23.0% 19.1% 18.1% 10.8% 6.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Jonathan Riley 33.0% 27.3% 20.6% 9.9% 6.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Marina Garrido 19.7% 18.7% 22.0% 17.3% 13.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Madeline Simms 10.7% 12.6% 13.7% 18.7% 21.0% 15.0% 6.4% 1.9%
Lauren Gasek 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 4.3% 5.6% 11.2% 24.4% 48.2%
John Van Zanten 7.6% 7.6% 11.1% 16.4% 20.2% 18.9% 13.4% 4.8%
Harry Stevenson 4.5% 6.4% 7.5% 11.2% 15.3% 23.2% 21.1% 10.8%
Will Rudaz 2.1% 2.1% 3.6% 4.1% 7.2% 17.3% 30.0% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.