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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+2.09vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+1.10vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83-0.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.57vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.22-0.19vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Tufts University1.270.2%1st Place
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3.1Salve Regina University1.310.2%1st Place
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2.34University of Rhode Island1.830.4%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.81Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.24Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 18.8% | 23.3% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 20.3% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 35.5% | 25.9% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 22.8% | 12.2% | 5.6% |
| Madeline Simms | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 28.6% | 36.4% |
| Lauren Gasek | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 27.1% | 46.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.