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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+1.51vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.69+0.29vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.11+0.45vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.22-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Tufts University1.270.3%1st Place
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2.4Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.45Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.9Fairfield University-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.66University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Garrido | 31.1% | 24.4% | 20.7% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.9% | 28.7% | 20.8% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Simms | 15.0% | 18.0% | 23.7% | 20.7% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 22.7% | 8.1% |
| Lauren Gasek | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 24.6% | 48.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 28.4% | 37.2% |
| John Van Zanten | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.