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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-0.46+3.56vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.41+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.32vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.25-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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3.2University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.39University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.35Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 40.2% | 24.9% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 18.3% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Avey | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 23.3% | 19.0% |
| Dalton Lovett | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% |
| Aitor Iriso | 15.0% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 22.6% | 22.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 42.0% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.