Race 10A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Black 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.7% 11.2% 11.6% 12.5% 10.1% 8.3%
Sean Andrew 13.4% 14.0% 11.8% 14.1% 12.7% 9.4% 9.2% 7.3% 5.5% 2.6%
Michael Reney 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 10.2% 12.5% 10.8% 13.7% 10.1% 8.7% 6.1%
David Pierce 10.9% 8.9% 12.8% 10.7% 13.6% 10.1% 11.0% 9.7% 7.7% 4.6%
John McGlynn 16.5% 17.6% 13.5% 13.7% 12.1% 10.0% 6.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.3%
Conor Lodge 19.7% 17.9% 16.1% 12.4% 10.0% 11.5% 6.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Matthew Butcka 2.6% 3.4% 5.3% 4.8% 5.4% 7.9% 9.6% 13.5% 17.8% 29.7%
Andrea Verdeja 3.8% 4.1% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 8.0% 8.6% 12.8% 18.7% 24.1%
Neal Drake 7.5% 7.1% 6.9% 8.8% 9.6% 11.1% 11.0% 13.1% 13.7% 11.2%
Nicholas Dragone 6.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 12.3% 12.4% 12.5% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.