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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.50vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-1.13vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.55-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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3.23University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.5University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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7.41Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 40.2% | 25.2% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 17.2% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Zackery Martin | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Emily Avey | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| Aitor Iriso | 17.0% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Dalton Lovett | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 20.8% | 42.6% |
| Ian Marshall | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.