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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+1.06vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.41-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46+0.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-1.11-0.62vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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3.19University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 39.6% | 26.7% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 17.4% | 24.1% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 16.3% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Emily Avey | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 15.2% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 5.2% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 23.7% | 38.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 24.6% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.