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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.45+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+1.25vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.59vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.11-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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3.03University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 38.9% | 28.7% | 16.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.4% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 21.9% | 21.8% | 21.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Emily Avey | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| Dalton Lovett | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 5.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 26.9% | 33.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.