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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+1.73vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.55+2.56vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+1.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-1.12vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.01+0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.25-2.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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3.73University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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2.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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7.42Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 20.5% | 21.7% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 12.8% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 39.2% | 26.9% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 22.3% | 20.0% |
| Emily Avey | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Dalton Lovett | 6.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 21.8% | 41.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 7.6% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.