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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.25+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46+1.40vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.41-1.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.09-1.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.55-1.38vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.4%1st Place
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3.22University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.2%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.090.1%1st Place
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6.62University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.36Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 39.3% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 17.2% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Aitor Iriso | 15.4% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Zackery Martin | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 4.4% |
| Emily Avey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| Dalton Lovett | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Ian Marshall | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 6.7% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 23.7% | 21.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.