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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+1.23vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.04vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.37+0.48vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.18-2.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-3.11-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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1.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.5%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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5.79Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 7.7% | 1.0% |
| Noah Barton | 14.9% | 22.5% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 46.8% | 27.5% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 17.8% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 18.2% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 10.2% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 39.8% | 27.2% |
| Claire Jablonski | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 4.2% |
| John Cornet | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 20.0% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.