← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.01vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.50+1.40vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+2.38vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.43-0.78vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+0.03vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-1.23+0.21vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.18-0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.94-2.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Oregon-2.37-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.5%1st Place
-
3.4University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.0%1st Place
-
3.22Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
-
5.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
-
6.16Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
-
5.7University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 45.5% | 26.2% | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.7% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 18.2% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Max Lawall | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 11.6% |
| Claire Jablonski | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 21.6% | 11.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 7.6% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.