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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.20+2.98vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-0.17vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.50-1.23vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.43-3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.37-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-3.11-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.5%1st Place
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3.31University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.3Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 46.3% | 27.1% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 15.0% | 21.4% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren McClintock | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 29.1% | 16.8% | 3.8% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.4% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katy Priest | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 40.5% | 28.3% |
| John Cornet | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 19.1% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.