← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+1.03vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.50+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.43+0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+1.36vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley-1.23+1.24vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.50-0.98vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-1.20-0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-2.37-0.07vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
-
3.42University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.41Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
-
5.36University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.1%1st Place
-
6.24University of California at Berkeley-1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.02Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
6.37University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
-
7.93University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
-
5.23University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 44.6% | 27.7% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 13.8% | 21.7% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.5% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 4.5% |
| Max Lawall | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 14.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 13.4% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 59.6% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.