Race 11A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Neal Drake 8.7% 8.7% 10.4% 9.4% 11.2% 14.6% 15.8% 13.8% 7.4%
Conor Lodge 18.6% 22.3% 16.0% 14.1% 12.1% 7.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.0%
John McGlynn 21.8% 16.1% 16.5% 13.8% 13.1% 9.1% 6.1% 3.1% 0.4%
David Pierce 12.5% 13.9% 13.7% 14.9% 13.8% 10.9% 9.5% 7.8% 3.0%
Nicholas Dragone 9.0% 10.5% 10.9% 10.8% 13.1% 12.4% 11.7% 13.0% 8.6%
Jacob Hardy 2.6% 1.7% 3.8% 4.9% 4.1% 6.5% 10.4% 16.5% 49.5%
Michael Reney 11.1% 11.5% 12.0% 15.0% 12.6% 13.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.5%
Matthew Butcka 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 11.3% 13.5% 23.5% 22.3%
Tyler Black 10.6% 10.5% 11.3% 10.5% 12.5% 13.9% 15.1% 11.3% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.