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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.73+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+0.17vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.20+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-1.03vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.50-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.37-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-3.11-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.4%1st Place
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5.37University of California at Santa Cruz-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.17University of California at San Diego0.500.2%1st Place
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3.18Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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5.83University of Washington-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Oregon-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Berkeley-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 44.5% | 29.1% | 15.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Burleigh Charlton | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 20.6% | 9.5% | 2.5% |
| Noah Barton | 17.1% | 21.4% | 22.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 17.7% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauren McClintock | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 16.7% | 5.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.7% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Hurley | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Katy Priest | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 41.3% | 27.3% |
| John Cornet | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 20.3% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.