Race 12A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
David Pierce 14.1% 12.7% 11.3% 14.4% 13.5% 11.8% 12.8% 6.7% 2.7%
Michael Reney 8.8% 11.3% 13.8% 13.2% 14.4% 13.4% 11.1% 9.9% 4.1%
Conor Lodge 22.7% 19.3% 18.2% 12.8% 12.2% 7.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.3%
John McGlynn 20.8% 20.0% 16.0% 16.3% 9.5% 8.1% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Tyler Black 10.2% 12.4% 12.4% 12.6% 12.0% 11.4% 12.8% 10.8% 5.4%
Neal Drake 8.1% 8.3% 9.3% 11.4% 11.8% 15.8% 13.8% 13.8% 7.7%
Nicholas Dragone 7.6% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 14.9% 14.7% 14.9% 12.8% 6.9%
Jacob Hardy 2.9% 2.4% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 6.9% 9.5% 15.9% 51.3%
Matthew Butcka 4.8% 4.6% 5.5% 6.5% 7.7% 10.2% 14.4% 25.4% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.