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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.74+4.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+3.52vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.06+6.83vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas1.72-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.65+1.75vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.48vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.11-1.90vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.58+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+3.87vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.72-3.18vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland1.00-5.60vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.76vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.70vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.67-2.87vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-1.11-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.73vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.30-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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5.52Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.33North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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10.83University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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6.0North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.25University of North Texas1.720.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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8.48Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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7.1Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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12.9Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.82University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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12.24Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.3Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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13.13Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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14.47The Citadel-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.27University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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17.07University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 25.6% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Lothrop | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 9.6% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 27.0% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 18.7% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.