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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+4.54vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland1.00+5.65vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.11+4.27vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54+1.79vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas1.72+0.44vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.74-0.76vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.54-3.70vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72+0.74vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia0.06+0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65-2.21vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.58+1.22vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.09vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-1.11+0.66vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.70vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-1.24vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.88vs Predicted
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18Duke University-0.67-4.78vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.30-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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7.27Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.79North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.44University of North Texas1.720.1%1st Place
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5.24Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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3.3North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.74University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.22Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Virginia0.060.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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13.22Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.91Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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14.66The Citadel-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.3Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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16.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.22Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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17.09University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 24.8% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Lothrop | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 8.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 26.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 19.8% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.