← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College2.43+2.81vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.70+1.47vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire1.71+2.27vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.11vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University0.55+2.14vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College0.92-0.31vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut2.59-4.53vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.61vs Predicted
-
10Middlebury College1.50-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
-
3.47Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
-
5.27University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
-
7.14Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.69Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
-
3.47University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
-
5.39Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.66Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ryan White | 18.5% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Justin Marks | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 6.4% |
| Richard Graef | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 41.9% |
| Nick Belsito | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 24.9% | 25.2% |
| John Giuliano | 18.6% | 20.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 9.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.