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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.00+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.72+3.24vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.65+4.60vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.91+7.55vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.20vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+4.06vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.54-3.40vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.65-4.68vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.67+2.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.72-3.32vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.41-1.01vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19+0.69vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.11-7.99vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.58-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.03vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-1.11-3.54vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.30-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43University of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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5.24University of North Texas1.720.1%1st Place
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3.26North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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8.6University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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13.55University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.2Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.06Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.6North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.32Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.04Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.68University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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11.99Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.01Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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12.64Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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14.46The Citadel-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.97University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 26.4% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 5.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Usher | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 9.7% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 25.3% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 8.4% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.