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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+4.67vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University2.54+1.27vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+2.43vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.18vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.74+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland1.00+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.65+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas1.72-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.91+4.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72-1.74vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.11-3.89vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-1.33vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-1.11+0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.19-0.55vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.88vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.67-4.02vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.93vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.30-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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3.27North Carolina State University2.540.3%1st Place
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5.43Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.18Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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5.27Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Texas0.650.0%1st Place
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5.38University of North Texas1.720.1%1st Place
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13.58University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.26University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.11Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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12.99Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.67Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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14.45The Citadel-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.45University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.190.0%1st Place
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12.12Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.98Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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16.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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17.03University of Georgia-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 25.8% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dutch Byerly | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Ian Street | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas DeConto | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 7.6% |
| Zachary Vance | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 23.7% |
| Katie Kellam | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.