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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.19+4.95vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+1.45vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.17+0.21vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.78+0.33vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-1.12+5.10vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.91+3.56vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.05vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.13+2.09vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61+2.78vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83+2.48vs Predicted
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12Duke University-2.25+3.08vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.23-4.89vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-3.22vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.85vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-2.33-1.07vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.19-2.45vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-0.95vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University1.03-14.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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4.45Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.33Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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11.1The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.05Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.09Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.78University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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15.08Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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8.11North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.78Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.15Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.93University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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17.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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4.37Jacksonville University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 17.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 13.0% |
| Will Finch | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 45.8% |
| Maartje van Dam | 16.4% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.