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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.17+3.22vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+3.26vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.03-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.91+4.40vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19-0.05vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-1.12+3.39vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.21vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.76+3.26vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-0.38vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.13-0.50vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83+0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-2.33+1.12vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.61-2.29vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.25-1.20vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.23-8.81vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-2.19-3.36vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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5.26Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.42Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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3.91University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.68Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.95University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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11.39The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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13.26Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.5Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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12.71University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.8Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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8.19North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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16.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 16.2% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 11.7% |
| Will Finch | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.