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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.03+3.56vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78+3.19vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.12+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28-0.05vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.19+1.02vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.10vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.13+3.19vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+1.69vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.91+0.53vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.12+0.27vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.23-3.63vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.76+0.64vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-1.61-1.04vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.19-0.26vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-2.33-1.97vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-0.67vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.69-0.71vs Predicted
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20Duke University-2.25-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.19Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.4Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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3.95University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.18North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Texas0.190.0%1st Place
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8.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.19Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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10.69Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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11.27The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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8.37North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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13.64Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.96University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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17.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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18.29William and Mary-3.690.0%1st Place
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15.03Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maartje van Dam | 14.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 15.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Will Finch | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 4.6% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 24.5% | 28.2% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 18.3% | 50.7% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.