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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+2.97vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.12+2.33vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.17+1.29vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+1.21vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.13+6.19vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.91+2.40vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.03-4.51vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-0.23-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.61+1.91vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-1.12-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83+0.86vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-2.33+0.12vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.25-1.09vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.76-3.74vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-2.19-3.15vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-3.69-0.73vs Predicted
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20University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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4.33Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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11.19Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.01Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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4.49Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.32North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.91University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.36The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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13.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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10.73Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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14.91Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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13.26Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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18.27William and Mary-3.690.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 16.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 14.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 5.1% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 51.4% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 27.4% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.