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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.17+3.31vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+1.94vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78+2.26vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.03+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.91+5.46vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.19+0.11vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.21vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.76+4.32vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.70vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-0.23-2.71vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.13-0.61vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.61+0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.19+0.76vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-1.12-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17+0.25vs Predicted
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18Duke University-2.25-3.05vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-2.33-3.86vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.69-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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3.94University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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5.26Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.59Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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4.43Eckerd College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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7.79Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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13.32Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.29North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.39Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.2University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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11.16The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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13.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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17.25University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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14.95Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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18.31William and Mary-3.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 17.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 12.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 13.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Finch | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jamie Weston | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 4.7% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 23.4% | 27.0% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.1% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.