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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.59+1.64vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.50+1.72vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.30vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.92+0.59vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.88vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.70-5.72vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.55-2.69vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.71-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.72Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.3Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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6.59Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.28Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.31Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.23University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 17.1% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| John Giuliano | 17.6% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 10.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 7.4% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 26.7% |
| Richard Graef | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Ryan White | 22.4% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 43.6% |
| Justin Marks | 9.1% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.