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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+3.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+5.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.16+1.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+2.19vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+2.26vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-1.87vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.67+1.08vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.52-2.24vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.25-3.77vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.58-3.58vs Predicted
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12American University-0.66-0.67vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.26-3.67vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-1.40-1.11vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.87-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Georgetown University1.9715.4%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.925.4%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Naval Academy2.1617.4%1st Place
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6.19George Washington University1.447.2%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland0.905.8%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University2.2016.9%1st Place
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8.08Virginia Tech0.674.2%1st Place
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5.76Old Dominion University1.529.4%1st Place
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11.6Christopher Newport University-0.520.5%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Naval Academy1.258.1%1st Place
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7.42Hampton University0.584.7%1st Place
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11.33American University-0.661.5%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University0.262.6%1st Place
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12.89William and Mary-1.400.4%1st Place
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13.7University of Maryland-1.870.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Petersen | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 9.7% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 7.4% |
| Ian Kissel | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.1% | 30.2% | 28.4% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 21.8% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.