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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.03+3.44vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.17+2.22vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.23+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28-0.19vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.12+6.10vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-2.19+7.38vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.78-2.78vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-2.06+3.88vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.29vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.13-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.61-0.64vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-1.90vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-2.33-1.32vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-0.25vs Predicted
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18Duke University-2.25-3.49vs Predicted
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19University of Texas-0.01-12.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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8.02North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.81University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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11.1The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.24Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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14.38University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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5.22Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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10.23Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Virginia-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.71Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.23Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.36University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.14Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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14.51Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Texas-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maartje van Dam | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Manley | 18.4% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Griffin Richardson | 16.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Braeton Oliver | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 6.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 12.3% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 45.9% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% |
| Reilly Linn | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.