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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.17+3.15vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.03+2.57vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+4.69vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.28-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Texas-0.01+2.44vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+4.33vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-1.12+3.94vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.76+5.19vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.23-1.15vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.78-5.03vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.12-6.75vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.13-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia-2.06+0.74vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-0.69vs Predicted
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15University of North Texas-1.61-2.61vs Predicted
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16Duke University-2.25-1.54vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-2.33-2.29vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-1.07vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.19-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15North Carolina State University1.170.2%1st Place
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4.57Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.84University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.33Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.94The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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13.19Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.85North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.97Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.25Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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11.2Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Virginia-2.060.0%1st Place
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13.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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12.39University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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14.46Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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16.93University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 16.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 18.4% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Will Finch | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sickinger | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Braeton Oliver | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 6.4% |
| Anika Pruim | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 45.2% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.