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📊 Prediction Accuracy
65.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.17+3.43vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+6.18vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.03+1.84vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.78+1.41vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.76+8.50vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.12-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28-2.83vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.23+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Texas-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.96+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.32-4.14vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.61+1.21vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-1.12-1.29vs Predicted
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14Duke University-2.25+1.06vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.83-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-2.33-0.74vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-1.13-5.62vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.17-0.58vs Predicted
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19University of Georgia-2.19-4.14vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-3.69-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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8.18Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.84Jacksonville University1.030.1%1st Place
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5.41Christopher Newport University0.780.1%1st Place
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13.5Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.55Eckerd College1.120.2%1st Place
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4.17University of South Carolina1.280.2%1st Place
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8.39North Carolina State University-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.93Georgia Institute of Technology-0.960.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Virginia0.320.1%1st Place
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13.21University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.71The Citadel-1.120.0%1st Place
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15.06Duke University-2.250.0%1st Place
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13.77University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.830.0%1st Place
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15.26University of Maryland-2.330.0%1st Place
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11.38Clemson University-1.130.0%1st Place
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17.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.170.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Georgia-2.190.0%1st Place
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18.32William and Mary-3.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Bailey | 14.9% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 14.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Richardson | 15.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 15.1% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tan Tonge | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Sullivan | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm McAlister | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jane Minchew | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
| Anika Pruim | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Isaac Butz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Michael Sickinger | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Vaughan Hood | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 28.1% |
| Jake Tipper | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Hearle | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 19.8% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.