← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+5.22vs Predicted
-
2University of North Texas1.72+2.31vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas0.65+3.83vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+5.52vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.11vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.02-0.40vs Predicted
-
8Bates College0.28+0.91vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.83vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.63+2.14vs Predicted
-
11Middlebury College-0.14-0.54vs Predicted
-
12Purdue University0.56-3.96vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University-0.26-2.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego1.45-8.97vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware-0.82-2.33vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.29-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.22University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
4.31University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
-
7.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
-
7.83University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
-
10.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
-
6.11University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
-
6.6University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
-
8.91Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
-
8.17Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
-
12.14Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
-
10.46Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.04Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
-
10.85Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.03University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
12.67University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.1San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Aitor Iriso | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| James Jagielski | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 22.6% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 1.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 27.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.