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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.72+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.65+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02+0.57vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.56+1.11vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+2.33vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.87vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.28-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.82+1.58vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-4.88vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.63-0.97vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-3.07vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.14-4.37vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.26-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.28University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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5.09University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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8.11Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.13Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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9.14Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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12.03Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.93San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.63Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.02Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.0% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| James Jagielski | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 30.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 22.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| Andrew White | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.