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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.72+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.44vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.56+3.06vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.26+4.96vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.31vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.29+2.90vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65-3.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.45-6.89vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.62vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.14-3.53vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.63-3.01vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.28-6.78vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.82-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.33University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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8.06Purdue University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.96Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.31Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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10.9San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.47Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.99Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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9.22Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.5% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Odey Hariri | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% |
| James Jagielski | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Stephen Poirier | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.