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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.02+5.36vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.14+8.36vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.13vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.60vs Predicted
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8University of North Texas1.72-3.78vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+1.36vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+1.08vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.65-3.33vs Predicted
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12Purdue University0.56-3.91vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-0.26-2.07vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.28-5.06vs Predicted
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15Marquette University-0.63-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.82-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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10.36Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.28Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.22University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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10.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.08San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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8.09Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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10.93Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.94Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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12.2Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Cannon | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% |
| Stephen Poirier | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Aitor Iriso | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.8% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 21.8% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.