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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.70+2.27vs Predicted
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2Bates College2.43+2.00vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.62+2.44vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.59-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.71+0.12vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.92+0.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.83vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.50-4.39vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.55-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.0Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.44Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.12University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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6.71Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.61Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.29Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan White | 23.0% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 13.5% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.3% |
| John Giuliano | 20.3% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Justin Marks | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| Nick Belsito | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 24.8% | 25.3% |
| Richard Graef | 13.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.