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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+1.37vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+1.32vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.97-0.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy-0.21-0.25vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.65-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Georgetown University1.8633.0%1st Place
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3.32George Washington University0.9315.9%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6714.5%1st Place
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3.02Old Dominion University0.9720.8%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy-0.215.5%1st Place
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3.99Christopher Newport University0.6510.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Bates | 33.0% | 26.8% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 15.9% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 14.5% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 13.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 20.8% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 6.1% |
| Kate Zurinskas | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 47.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.