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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+5.15vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.72+2.32vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.52+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+2.50vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.45-0.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.98vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.14+2.20vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.26+1.64vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.63+1.89vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.56-3.12vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.28-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Texas0.65-5.51vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-3.92vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29-5.05vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.07-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.32University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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8.08Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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6.5University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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10.2Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.64Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.89Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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7.88Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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8.88Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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10.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.95San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Dutch Byerly | 19.1% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| Andrew White | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 4.9% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 10.9% |
| Odey Hariri | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 5.6% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.