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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.72+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+2.88vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.56+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.10vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.02-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.65-1.48vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14+0.37vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.29-0.28vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.28-3.12vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.63-1.21vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.26-3.40vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-4.67vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-2.07-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.3University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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8.06Purdue University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.26University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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8.13Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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6.25University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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10.37Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.72San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.88Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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11.79Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.6Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.89University of Delaware-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 17.5% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 4.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 10.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 3.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.