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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+7.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.72+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.45+1.26vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.56+3.04vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.65+0.80vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+2.32vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.29+1.96vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.02-4.56vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.82-2.47vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-0.63-3.80vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.26-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.33University of North Texas1.720.2%1st Place
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5.26University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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8.04Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Texas0.650.1%1st Place
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10.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.96San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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10.6Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.44University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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8.19Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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12.2Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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11.04Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Dutch Byerly | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Stephen Poirier | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Kristin Hess | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 28.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 21.5% |
| Andrew White | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.