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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.01+5.33vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-0.01+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.82vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.51+0.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.61vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+0.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.20vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas-1.61+3.27vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.17-3.06vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39-5.77vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.35-1.40vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.37-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware0.06-7.72vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Texas-0.010.1%1st Place
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5.82University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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5.84Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.88Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.27University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.94San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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9.58Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.23University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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11.6Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.65Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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15.76Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 24.1% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Reilly Linn | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 32.4% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 2.3% |
| William Procter | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 21.0% | 2.4% |
| Quinn Harrington | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 91.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.