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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.01+6.35vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+4.17vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.17+3.84vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+5.41vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+2.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.45vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware0.06-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.01-2.51vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.49vs Predicted
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12Purdue University0.51-6.14vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.61-0.73vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.35-2.44vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.37-3.21vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of Texas-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.17University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.84San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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9.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.83Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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3.55University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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7.49University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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9.51Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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5.86Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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12.27University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.56Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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11.79Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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15.75Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reilly Linn | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 25.0% | 18.5% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 29.7% | 3.5% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 22.3% | 1.9% |
| William Procter | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 20.5% | 22.9% | 2.1% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.