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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+5.80vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.34+6.70vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.27+6.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.57+3.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.06+3.83vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+3.15vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48+1.28vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.30-2.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42+3.10vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.37-1.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-0.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.83-2.45vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.38-4.40vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.93-2.24vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.68-9.09vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.44-4.17vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Yale University2.858.9%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.346.2%1st Place
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9.11Georgetown University2.275.5%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy2.577.9%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.065.2%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.025.3%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.486.3%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University3.3015.7%1st Place
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12.1University of Rhode Island1.422.7%1st Place
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10.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.133.1%1st Place
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9.51Brown University2.374.2%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.622.9%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.834.7%1st Place
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9.6College of Charleston2.384.5%1st Place
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12.76University of Miami1.931.9%1st Place
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6.91Tulane University2.688.7%1st Place
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12.83George Washington University1.442.0%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.054.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| William Kulas | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 20.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.