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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut2.59+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.71+2.28vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43-0.31vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.62+0.29vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.70-2.77vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.92-0.25vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.50-3.41vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.55-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.28University of New Hampshire1.710.1%1st Place
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3.69Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.29Maine Maritime Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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3.23Northeastern University2.700.2%1st Place
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6.75Amherst College0.920.0%1st Place
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5.59Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.32Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Graef | 14.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| John Giuliano | 15.4% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Justin Marks | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 6.9% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 18.0% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| Ryan White | 22.5% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nick Belsito | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 25.8% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.