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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Texas-0.01+5.43vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+6.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.80vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.17+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware0.06+1.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.39-1.97vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.52vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.11-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.61+1.20vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.37-0.28vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.35-1.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.30-10.38vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.01-7.47vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Texas-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.95San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.03University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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9.52Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.88Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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12.2University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.72Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.62Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.53University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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15.74Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 30.7% | 3.9% |
| William Procter | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 3.3% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 2.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 22.5% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.