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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+4.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware0.06+4.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.01+3.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.54vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11+1.89vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.17-0.08vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.51-2.33vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.65+0.50vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.39-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-0.01-4.49vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37-1.31vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.35-2.40vs Predicted
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16University of North Texas-1.61-3.57vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Delaware0.060.1%1st Place
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7.55University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.1%1st Place
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7.89Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.92San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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5.67Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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9.5Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.3SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.14University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Texas-0.010.1%1st Place
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11.69Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.6Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.43University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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15.75Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 23.4% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| James Sullivan | 10.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 2.6% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 2.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 20.2% | 32.3% | 3.6% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.