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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.38vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.19+3.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+4.66vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.17+1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.01+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.39-2.50vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.11-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.61+1.62vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.35-0.20vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.65-3.18vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37-2.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-3.19vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-2.19-3.00vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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3.38University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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6.19University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.31San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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5.5University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.05Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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11.62University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.8Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.82Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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15.61Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 11.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 25.6% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 12.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 2.9% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 1.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 1.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 36.3% | 7.5% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.