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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.30vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.51+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.19+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.01+1.79vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.11+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.39-1.30vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.17-1.85vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.35+1.81vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.65-1.11vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.51vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.37-1.08vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.16vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-1.61-2.50vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-2.19-3.00vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-4.28-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of California at Los Angeles1.300.3%1st Place
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5.26Purdue University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Texas0.190.1%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at San Diego0.010.1%1st Place
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7.19Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.7University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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6.15San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
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10.81Fairfield University-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.89Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.92Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.5University of North Texas-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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15.62Marquette University-4.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 25.6% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 1.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 1.3% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 37.6% | 7.0% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.